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There is a 14-game slate across MLB tonight, and that means lots of opportunities for baseballs to leave the yard.
My home run prop analysis will highlight lefty sluggers Corbin Carroll and Drake Baldwin.
Keep reading for my MLB picks for Monday, May 18.
Best MLB home run props today
Player to hit a HR
Odds
Corbin Carroll
+620
Drake Baldwin
+434
Home run pick: Corbin Carroll (+620)
Corbin Carroll has been red-hot lately. He's batting .421 over the last seven days, and he just smoked two home runs in the series finale against the Colorado Rockies on Sunday. While Carroll only has seven bombs overall this season, he's clubbed three this month, and tonight's matchup is an intriguing one for the outfielder.
The San Francisco Giants send Robbie Ray to the hill, who is HR-prone at times. He's already given up 10 long balls in 2026. Although he only has one homer versus southpaws, Carroll is batting .414 vs left-handed hurlers.
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Time: 9:40 p.m. ET
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Where to watch: NBCSBA, DBACKS.TV
Home run pick: Drake Baldwin (+434)
Drake Baldwin is emerging as one of the top power-hitting catchers in the big leagues. The 25-year-old is hitting .301 with 13 home runs, which ranks eighth overall across the Majors. Baldwin has smacked three bombs across his previous five games, and he also has four hits in his last three appearances.
The Atlanta Braves are on the road tonight to take on the Miami Marlins, and Baldwin has cracked seven HRs away from home. He's just 1-for-5 lifetime against Max Meyer, but the righty just gave up two long balls in his last outing.
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Time: 6:40 p.m. ET
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Where to watch: Braves.Vision, Marlins.TV
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
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HR picks: 6-36, -5.08 units
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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