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The Los Angeles Dodgers aim to stay hot as they visit the reeling Los Angeles Angels for the second game of the Freeway Series on Saturday night.
The odds are giving the Angels a fair chance with ace Jose Soriano on the mound, but my Dodgers vs. Angels predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, May 16, think the adjustment is too much.
Who will win Dodgers vs Angels today: Dodgers (-136)
Anytime I can get short odds like this for the best roster in the MLB to defeat a squad that has lost 19 of its last 24 games, I’m buying.
The odds are such due to a perceived starting pitching advantage for the Los Angeles Angels, but Jose Soriano’s .248 BABIP and 94% left-on-base percentage both indicate his 1.66 ERA is at least part smoke and mirrors.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have won five of Justin Wrobleski’s seven starts, and he sets up favorably against an Angels lineup with a lowly 70 wRC+ in May.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Much of Jose Soriano’s success comes from his 28.4% K rate and 91st percentile whiff rate. The Dodgers are a tough matchup in that department, striking out only 20.8% of the time against RHP.
Dodgers vs Angels Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (-105)
It might seem odd that I’m targeting the Over in a game where both starting pitchers have such stellar ERAs, but I’m betting on variance.
Soriano has been tremendous, but his 3.75 xERA is more indicative of future performance than his 1.66 ERA.
Wrobleski’s 2.42 ERA is undercut by his 4.08 xERA, 4.84 xFIP, and 92 Stuff+. He doesn’t make batters miss (second-percentile whiff rate), and the Angels are more respectable against southpaws (104 wRC+).
The Dodgers are in a bind after Blake Snell was scratched yesterday, forcing Dave Roberts to use eight bullpen arms.
JD Yonke's 2026 Transparency Record
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ML/RL bets: 13-13 -3.84 units
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Over/Under bets: 19-8 +10.64 units
Dodgers vs Angels odds
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Moneyline: Dodgers -129 | Angels +117
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Run line: Dodgers -1.5 (+124) | Angels +1.5 (-144)
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Over/Under: Over 8.5 (+100) | Under 8.5 (-120)
Dodgers vs Angels trend
The Angels have lost 19 of their last 24 games. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Angels. Find more MLB betting trends for Dodgers vs. Angels.
How to watch Dodgers vs Angels and game info
Location
Angels Stadium, Anaheim, CA
Date
Saturday, May 16, 2026
First pitch
9:38 p.m. ET
TV
SportsNet LA, FDSN West
Dodgers starting pitcher
Justin Wrobleski
(5-1, 2.42 ERA)
Angels starting pitcher
Jose Soriano
(6-2, 1.66 ERA)
Dodgers vs Angels latest injuries
Dodgers vs Angels weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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