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After a surprising Game 1 loss at home, the San Antonio Spurs own a 2-1 series lead over the Minnesota Timberwolves following two straight victories.
Anthony Edwards was limited in Games 1 and 2, but he roared back to life in Game 3, and my Spurs vs Timberwolves predictions expect Ant-Man to carry his team to a desperately needed win in front of the home crowd.
Here are my best free NBA picks for Sunday’s Game 4 from Target Center.
Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4 prediction
Spurs vs Timberwolves best bet: Anthony Edwards Over 31.5 points+rebounds (-105)
Anthony Edwards came off the bench in Games 1 and 2 and totaled 30 points and six rebounds across 49 total minutes. He started Game 3 and eclipsed those totals with 32 points and 14 rebounds across 41 minutes.
He’s logged 30+ minutes in just three playoff games this postseason, but he delivered 32+ points+rebounds in two of them and went for exactly 31 in the other.
Ant-Man has started four games against the San Antonio Spurs this season, and he hit the Over on this combo line three times while averaging 41.3 points+rebounds.
Through the regular season and playoffs, he’s averaged 33.7 points+rebounds and gone for 32+ in 43 of 68 total appearances.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Anthony Edwards’ season highs in points (55) and rebounds (14) both came against the Spurs.
Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4 same-game parlay
The Minnesota Timberwolves have covered the spread in four of their last five games at home, and the team nearly covered the 5.5-point spread despite awful shooting performances from Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels.
With Edwards off his minutes restriction, I expect him to do everything he can to will his team to victory with the necessary support from his teammates.
Improved shooting from two starters means more scoring for Minnesota, and the point total is set far too low for Game 4. These teams have hit the Game Total Over in two straight and four of six head-to-head matchups this season.
Spurs vs Timberwolves SGP
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Anthony Edwards Over 31.5 points + rebounds
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Timberwolves +4.5
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Over 217
Spurs vs Timberwolves odds for Game 4
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Spread: Spurs -4.5 | Timberwolves +4.5
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Moneyline: Spurs -180 | Timberwolves +150
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Over/Under: Over 217 | Under 217
Spurs vs Timberwolves betting trend to know
The Minnesota Timberwolves are 4-1 ATS across their last five games at Target Center. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Timberwolves.
How to watch Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 4
Location
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Date
Sunday, May 10, 2026
Tip-off
7:30 p.m. ET
TV
NBC
Spurs vs Timberwolves latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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