There is a possible nightmare scenario where Napoli, Juventus, Milan, Roma and Como could all finish on 71 Serie A points, creating chaos for Champions League and Europa League qualification.
We are going into the final two rounds of the Serie A campaign and the situation is still up in the air, with five teams crammed in a five-point radius for the remaining three Champions League spots.
Whoever finishes in fifth and sixth will qualify for the Europa League, with seventh in all likelihood going to Atalanta and the Conference League.
Serie A potential nightmare scenario
TURIN, ITALY – FEBRUARY 22: Kenan Yildiz of Juventus FC is challenged by Martin Baturina of Como 1907 during the Serie A match between Juventus FC and Como 1907 at on February 21, 2026 in Turin, Italy. (Photo by Valerio Pennicino/Getty Images)
There is a nightmare scenario where it’s possible all five of these teams could finish the season level on 71 points.
It would require Napoli to get just one point from two rounds against Pisa and Udinese, Juventus three points against Fiorentina and Torino, Milan four points with Genoa and Cagliari, Roma four points between Lazio and Verona, plus Como to beat both Parma and Cremonese.
When sides are level on points in Serie A, then goal difference does not matter in dividing teams.
It is all about their head-to-head record throughout the course of a campaign.
ROME, ITALY – JANUARY 25: Lorenzo Pellegrini of AS Roma celebrates scoring his team’s first goal from the penalty-spot during the Serie A match between AS Roma and AC Milan at Stadio Olimpico on January 25, 2026 in Rome, Italy. (Photo by Paolo Bruno/Getty Images)
If these sides were to all finish together on 71 points, a ‘classifica avulsa’ would be drawn up, namely a mini-league table of their results against each other.
In this situation, Milan, Napoli and Como would enter the Champions League, leaving Juventus and Roma to the Europa League.
Play-offs are only possible for two scenarios, in case two teams are joint top for the Scudetto, and with two sides level for relegation.
Serie A head-to-head results
Milan 2-1 Napoli
Napoli 1-0 Milan
Juventus 0-0 Milan
Milan 0-0 Juventus
Milan 1-0 Roma
Roma 1-1 Milan
Como 1-3 Milan
Milan 1-1 Como
Napoli 2-1 Juventus
Juventus 3-0 Napoli
NAPLES, ITALY – FEBRUARY 15: Alisson Santos of SSC Napoli scores his side second goal during the Serie A match between SSC Napoli and AS Roma at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on February 15, 2026 in Naples, Italy. (Photo by Francesco Pecoraro/Getty Images)
Roma 0-1 Napoli
Napoli 2-2 Roma
Napoli 0-0 Como
Como 0-0 Napoli
Como 2-0 Juventus
Juventus 0-2 Como
COMO, ITALY – MARCH 15: Nico Paz of Como 1907 is challenged by Gianluca Mancini of AS Roma during the Serie A match between Como 1907 and AS Roma at Giuseppe Sinigaglia Stadium on March 15, 2026 in Como, Italy. (Photo by Marco Luzzani/Getty Images)
Roma 1-0 Como
Como 2-1 Roma
Juventus 2-1 Roma
Roma 3-3 Juventus
