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The Cleveland Cavaliers held serve on Saturday with a win over the Detroit Pistons, and the home team will look to even up the Eastern Conference semifinals with another win on Monday.
Jarrett Allen has posted strong numbers against Jalen Duren, and my Pistons vs. Cavaliers predictions expect Cleveland’s starting center to deliver another productive scoring performance.
Here are my best free NBA picks for Game 4 from Rocket Arena on Monday, May 11.
Pistons vs Cavaliers Game 4 prediction
Pistons vs Cavaliers best bet: Jarrett Allen Over 12.5 points (-105)
Jarrett Allen has averaged 20 points over his last two games. He’s recorded 13+ in four of his last five, with the only exception being a two-point dud in Game 1 of the semifinals.
Allen has averaged 13.8 points across five home playoff games this season, and he’s gone for 13+ in two straight at Rocket Center.
The Cleveland Cavaliers' big man has found success against Detroit Pistons center Jalen Duren over the last three seasons.
In 11 career matchups with Duren, Allen has averaged 14.6 points. He scored 13+ in seven of those head-to-heads, including four of five at home.
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COVERS INTEL:
Allen averaged 17.8 points in 13 games post All-Star break, scoring 13+ points 11 times in that span.
Pistons vs Cavaliers Game 4 same-game parlay
Donovan Mitchell has scored 30+ points in back-to-back games. In five matchups with the Pistons, he’s averaged 30.8 points and scored 29+ four times. Mitchell has been a more potent scorer at home, and I expect him to come through in a big way as the Cavs look to even up the series.
The Cavaliers built momentum after a win in Game 3, and they can tie the series at two games apiece with a win in front of the home crowd. The home team has won five straight in this head-to-head, and Cleveland is 31-12 straight up as the home favorite this season.
Pistons vs Cavaliers SGP
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Jarrett Allen Over 12.5 points
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Donovan Mitchell Over 27.5 points
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Cavaliers moneyline
Pistons vs Cavaliers odds for Game 4
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Spread: Pistons +3.5 (-110) | Cavaliers -3.5 (-110)
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Moneyline: Pistons +140 | Cavaliers -165
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Over/Under: Over 213 (-110) | Under 213 (-110)
Pistons vs Cavaliers betting trend to know
The Cleveland Cavaliers have won five straight games at Rocket Arena. Find more NBA betting trends for Pistons vs. Cavaliers.
How to watch Pistons vs Cavaliers Game 4
Location
Rocket Arena, Cleveland, OH
Date
Monday, May 11, 2026
Tip-off
8:00 p.m. ET
TV
NBC
Pistons vs Cavaliers latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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