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Another full slate in the majors means lots of opportunities for the ball to leave the yard.
My home run prop breakdown will focus on Kyle Schwarber, Matt McLain, and Aaron Judge.
Read more in my MLB picks for Saturday, May 16.
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UPDATE: Added another HR pick + parlay.
Best MLB home run props today
Player to hit a HR
Odds
Kyle Schwarber
+266
Matt McLain
+750
Aaron Judge
+317
💲Today's HR parlay
+43992
Home run pick: Kyle Schwarber (+266)
Kyle Schwarber smacked his MLB-leading 19th and 20th home runs in Friday's victory over the Pittsburgh Pirates as he continues to stay hot.
The slugger has now gone deep in seven of his last eight games, and three times across his previous two contests.
The veteran is tearing the cover off the baseball, and no matter who is facing him, he's doing damage. Pirates SP Bubba Chandler has served up six homers across his last six starts.
Schwarber has also smacked his last four bombs on the road, and the Philadelphia Phillies visit the Bucs again here.
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Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
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Where to watch: NBCSP, SportsNet Pittsburgh
Home run pick: Matt McLain (+750)
Perhaps Matt McLain isn't the most household name in the big leagues, but he's on a tear lately.
The Cincinnati Reds second baseman has cracked home runs in back-to-back games, finishing 2-for-3 on Friday against the Cleveland Guardians with a bomb.
McLain will face Gavin Williams here, who has allowed eight home runs in just nine starts this season.
McLain has never faced Williams, but he's coming in hot, and Williams has allowed 10 earned runs across his previous two outings, including a pair of long balls.
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Time: 6:10 p.m. ET
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Where to watch: Reds.TV, Guardians TV
Home run pick: Aaron Judge (+317)
Every time Aaron Judge steps up to the plate, he's a threat to go yard. The New York Yankees slugger has 16 home runs already, and he went deep twice last season at Citi Field, as the Yanks visit the New York Mets again tonight.
Judge has smacked four homers already in May, and he's collected three hits in his last three games.
Seven of his bombs have been on the road, and he'll face veteran Huascar Brazoban. Judge is 0-for-3 lifetime, but Brazoban rarely starts games, and he's around the strike zone a lot.
The Mets' bullpen is also unpredictable, and Judge has historically hit well vs. New York, with 14 homers in 32 career games.
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Time: 7:15 p.m. ET
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Where to watch: FOX
Quinn Allen's 2026 Transparency Record
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HR picks: 6-33, -2.08 units
Today’s HR parlay
Kyle Schwarber
Bet Now
+43992
Matt McLain
Aaron Judge
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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