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UPDATE: Added a +825 lotto SGP!
My Spurs vs. Timberwolves predictions for Game 3 tonight are throwing out the results from Game 2.
The Minnesota Timberwolves failed to make open shots early, and that quickly led to a blowout for the San Antonio Spurs.
Instead, my NBA picks look at the one notable San Antonio adjustment from Game 2, and tell you how Naz Reid can take advantage of it on Friday, May 8.
Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 3 prediction tonight
Spurs vs Timberwolves best bet: Naz Reid Over 1.5 threes (-120)
The first adjustment in this series came from the San Antonio Spurs, sending an extra defender at Anthony Edwards nearly every time he touched the ball as a means of disrupting the Minnesota Timberwolves’ offense.
In response, expect Minnesota to emphasize its shooters. That starts with Naz Reid, finally looking close to healthy and already 5-of-7 from deep in this series.
In four games against the Spurs this season — ignoring the game when Reid left after five minutes with a shoulder injury — Reid is 11-for-21 from deep, hitting multiple 3-pointers in every game.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Naz Reid attempted 6.1 threes per game at home this season, compared to 5.6 per game on the road.
Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 3 same-game parlay
If the Timberwolves need to emphasize their shooters and move the ball out of Anthony Edwards’s hands quickly in the halfcourt — thereby breaking the Spurs’ designed double teams — that should naturally lead to a few additional assists for Ant-Man.
Those assists are unlikely to come in the paint, though. They will come on deep 3-pointers.
One player who does not take those is obviously Rudy Gobert, whose minutes should continue to be diminished in this specific series.
Spurs vs Timberwolves SGP
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Naz Reid Over 1.5 threes
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Anthony Edwards Over 4.5 assists
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Rudy Gobert Under 11.5 rebounds
Our "from downtown" SGP: Timberwolves' Trio
Minnesota seems to have two offensive options aside from Anthony Edwards’s creations: Julius Randle or Jaden McDaniels in isolation. Amid foul trouble, McDaniels has struggled to get going on offense to start this series, but he is more vital to the Timberwolves’ hopes.
McDaniels also presents more of a mismatch, as well as being eager in transition. Minnesota getting off to the races is the most obvious counter to San Antonio’s defense.
Every thought there encourages a second straight Over in this series, albeit hopefully a more competitive game on the way to it.
Spurs vs Timberwolves SGP
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Naz Reid Over 1.5 threes
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Anthony Edwards Over 4.5 assists
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Jaden McDaniels Over 14.5 points
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Over 216.5
Spurs vs Timberwolves odds for Game 3 tonight
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Spread: Spurs -4 (-110) | Timberwolves +4 (-110)
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Moneyline: Spurs -190 | Timberwolves +160
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Over/Under: Over 216.5 (-110) | Under 216.5 (-110)
Spurs vs Timberwolves betting trend to know
Minnesota is 3-0 ATS at home so far this postseason. Find more NBA betting trends for Spurs vs. Timberwolves.
How to watch Spurs vs Timberwolves Game 3
Location
Target Center, Minneapolis, MN
Date
Friday, May 8, 2026
Tip-off
9:30 p.m. ET
TV
Prime Video
Spurs vs Timberwolves latest injuries
Not intended for use in MA.
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