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Following a Friday loss, the Yankees aim to bounce back and level the series in Milwaukee tonight.
This evening’s contest features Cam Schlittler taking on Kyle Harrison, a pitching duel where New York holds a nice advantage.
Read all about it in my Brewers vs. Yankees predictions and MLB picks for Saturday, May 9.
Who will win Yankees vs Brewers today: Yankees moneyline (-135)
Cam Schlittler's started the season at an elite level and has remained consistent. He’s as good as any pitcher in baseball this year, and he has a matchup edge here. I’d play the Yankees to -170 because of it.
His fastball run value ranks in the 100th percentile of the sport, and his 96th percentile chase rate of just over 38% gives him an elite out-of-zone weapon against a Milwaukee Brewers lineup that must be disciplined to survive him.
The Brew Crew simply doesn’t have the profile of a team that’s going to hurt a guy with a lot of swing-and-miss stuff.
On the other side of things, Kyle Harrison is a talented pitcher, but his Bottom 24 percentile off-speed stuff may give him issues.
This feels like a scenario where a pitcher getting off his fastball (which the Yankees force) is more detrimental than actually throwing the pitch. We’ve seen it a few times this season, though, and it usually works out for New York.
Covers
COVERS INTEL:
Cam Schlitter’s has the highest overall run value for a starting pitcher in baseball.
Yankees vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Under 7.5 (-115)
The story of the total is Schlittler, as you might expect. The Under has cashed in three of the last four starts.
Although I picked the New York Yankees to win, I don't think their offense will do enough to push this Over on its own.
Harrison will have some issues in this matchup, but his hard-hit suppression (88th percentile) and barrel rate (73rd percentile) should keep the Yankees offense in check. I’d play this to -120.
Chris Hatfield's 2026 Transparency Record
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ML/RL bets: 14-13, +1.36 units
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Over/Under bets: 17-11, +7.72 units
Yankees vs Brewers odds
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Moneyline: Yankees -137 | Brewers +124
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Run line: Yankees -1.5 | Brewers +1.5
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Over/Under: Over 7.5 | Under 7.5
Yankees vs Brewers trend
The Yankees have hit the moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI). Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Brewers.
How to watch Yankees vs Brewers and game info
Location
American Family Field, Milwaukee, WI
Date
Saturday, May 9, 2026
First pitch
7:10 p.m. ET
TV
YES, Brewers.TV
Yankees starting pitcher
Cam Schlittler
(5-1, 1.52 ERA)
Brewers starting pitcher
Kyle Harrison
(3-1, 2.12 ERA)
Yankees vs Brewers latest injuries
Yankees vs Brewers weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
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